GARCH process
Temporal series or chronological series
Article REF: TE5220 V1
GARCH process
Temporal series or chronological series

Author : Michel PRENAT

Publication date: August 10, 2012, Review date: January 6, 2020 | Lire en français

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8. GARCH process

GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditionaly Heteroskedastic) processes are mainly found in econometrics (stock price trends, for example), in which case they are applicable to periodic relative variations ("returns") of a quantity (a P t price, for example):

Rt=PtPt1Pt1

The observation of such series suggests that extreme values (high or low), taken by the process in a given period, have consequences on the variance (higher or lower)...

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