4. Conclusion and outlook
The preceding paragraphs have highlighted the value of the probabilistic approach to design, emphasizing that beyond the evaluation of a probability, importance factors provide essential elements for validating a design and for advancing the design of a mechanical system towards greater reliability and robustness.
Implementation on a simple illustration should not mask the limitations and difficulties, linked to assumptions on the one hand or to numerical implementation on the other:
the mechanical model considered is that of a single component, but failure often results from several causes in a serial/parallel – pattern, in which case we speak of system reliability;
the mechanical model is punctual, in space and time, whereas randomness is a function of time and space, so we speak...
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Conclusion and outlook
Bibliography
Software tools
Structural Safety 28 (2006) has published a special issue summarizing 10 software packages available worldwide for stochastic calculation. Each software package is presented, and an illustration shows what can be expected from it for significant industrial applications. It should be noted that the "out-of-the-lab" offer is still limited to mechano-fiabilistic coupling using FORM/SORM methods, direct and conditioned Monte-Carlo...
Standards and norms
Eurocode 0: Fundamentals of structural design (EN 1990) – http://www.afnor.org/profils/activite/construction/les-eurocodes/les-eurocodes .
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