Empirical models for flashover

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SE2076 V1 Article

Empirical models for flashover

Authors : Pierre CARLOTTI, Éric GUILLAUME, Aurélien THIRY-MULLER

Publication date: October 10, 2025 | Lire en français

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Overview

ABSTRACT

This article addresses the phenomenon of flashover, a critical stage in fires occurring in enclosed spaces, where an initially localized fire rapidly transitions to full involvement of all combustible materials present. It discusses the physical mechanisms involved, particularly thermal radiation from hot smoke layers and thermal fluxes, material pyrolysis, and gas-phase chemical reactions. Various empirical models to predict flashover are presented, highlighting temperature-based criteria (around 600°C) and heat flux density criteria (approximately 20 kW/m²), along with their practical and theoretical limitations.

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AUTHORS

  • Pierre CARLOTTI : Scientific Director - ARTELIA, Paris (France)

  • Éric GUILLAUME : General Manager - Efectis France, Saint-Aubin (France)

  • Aurélien THIRY-MULLER : Assistant Manager - Laboratoire Central de la Préfecture de Police, Paris (France)

 INTRODUCTION

Flashover is a pivotal phase in the development of an enclosed fire. It is not a totally sudden event, but rather a gradual transition where an initially localized fire evolves into a fully-developed fire, affecting all combustible materials in a volume. This phase is marked by a rapid intensification of pyrolysis of materials under the combined effect of thermal radiation from the hot smoke layer and increased internal heat flows.

Flashover is the result of the accumulation of energy and combustible gases in an enclosed or semi-enclosed space, creating the critical conditions necessary for near-simultaneous ignition. This process depends on a number of factors, including the thermal properties of materials, ventilation and the geometric configuration of the burning compartment.

Understanding flashover is essential, as it marks the transition from a controllable growth phase to a fully developed fire, featuring extreme temperatures and heat flows capable of compromising surrounding structures. For occupants, this transition severely limits evacuation possibilities, while for responders it increases the risk of involvement and calls for specific anticipation and fire-fighting strategies.

In this article, we propose to examine empirical models for characterizing and predicting flashover. After introducing the physical and thermal principles governing this transition, we will present the main qualitative and quantitative models, emphasizing their practical applications and limitations in real-life situations.

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KEYWORDS

Fire Safety   |   Fully developed fire   |   Flashover   |   Empirical models

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