2. Principles and assumptions of the intermittency model
Reflections on the energy transition are based on scenarios that describe developments over the coming decades in response to a forecast of consumption (which may fall, stabilize or rise) and define a shift in the energy mix (growth or decline in certain modes of energy production) according to environmental or other frameworks
[BE 6 980]
. Analysis of the input data enables us to characterize how the electricity mix will function in the configurations forecast by these scenarios, looking two or three decades ahead.
A configuration is an assumption of a future state of the power system. For a target year,...
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Principles and assumptions of the intermittency model