8. Mistakes to avoid

8.1 Don't overlook the causes of uncertainty

Numerical simulation does not replace reflection on the causes of uncertainty and their probability law. By simulating events that are not representative of reality, we do not obtain a correct assessment of uncertainty according to the "garbage in, garbage out" principle.

8.2 Keep an eye on the big picture

Numerical simulation, like many other practices, relies on models. These models are necessarily imperfect, and so do not strictly describe reality,...