Practical sheet | REF: FIC1841 V1

The scenario method: What if...? What would be the consequences?

Authors: Pierre MONGIN, Laurent DELHALLE

Publication date: October 10, 2024 | Lire en français

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3. How do you build scenarios?

3.1 Scenario 1: global economic crisis

  • Hypothesis: a global recession leads to a drop in demand and disruptions to supply chains.

  • Impact: reduced production volumes, higher storage costs, redundancies.

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3.2 Scenario 2: strict environmental regulations

  • Assumption: new environmental regulations impose severe restrictions on emissions and industrial waste.

  • Impact: need to...

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How do you build scenarios?