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Olivier IDDIR: Project Engineer, Expertise and Modeling Department, QHSES Division, Technip
INTRODUCTION
Assessing ignition probabilities is an essential step in carrying out quantified risk analyses. To date, it is certainly the most open-ended step in quantified risk analysis.
To correctly assess the probability of ignition, it is necessary to :
identify product properties or characteristics that may influence the probability of ignition;
differentiate between the notions of immediate and delayed ignition;
be familiar with the main sources of ignition so as to be able to identify them during risk analysis and ensure that preventive measures are in place;
be familiar with the means and tools available to assess ignition probabilities (databases, mathematical models).
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IDDIR (O.). – Assessment of ignition probabilities in risk analysis. [SE 4 020] Safety and risk management (2010).
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