Conclusion

As we have seen throughout this article, tools exist to better anticipate flash floods. However, forecasting such phenomena remains limited in time and space, due to their intrinsic characteristics (suddenness, localized intense rainfall, small catchment areas affected). As a result, forecasting times may still appear too short for optimal crisis management. This is particularly true for small watersheds of the order of a few dozen km ² , or when the rainfall event is highly convective and generates locally heavy precipitation. However, a great deal of progress has been made in terms of weather forecasting –, thanks in particular to the use of radar observations –, which enable us to forecast precipitation accurately to within 3 hours in the best of cases. The future of these warning systems will necessarily involve extending these forecast times...